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Abstract
Purpose: This study examines whether fluctuations in global assets—cryptocurrencies, gold, and the rupiah exchange rate—provide signals for movements in the Indonesian Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) during 2021–2024. Research Design and Methodology: Using 48 monthly time-series observations obtained from official financial data sources, the study applies a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis using EViews 12 to evaluate both partial and simultaneous effects of the variables on the JCI. Findings and Discussion: The results show that cryptocurrency has a significant negative relationship with the JCI, while gold exhibits a significant positive relationship. In contrast, the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on the JCI. Simultaneously, the three variables contribute to explaining JCI variations, although with different magnitudes of influence, indicating differing roles of digital and traditional safe-haven assets in capital market dynamics. Implications: These findings suggest that investors and policymakers should consider global asset dynamics when interpreting Indonesian capital market conditions. Future research is recommended to include additional macroeconomic indicators and higher-frequency data to capture short-term transmission mechanisms more comprehensively.
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References
- Aftab, M., Naeem, M., & Tahir, M. (2024). Does uncertainty promote exchange rate volatility? Global evidence. Studies in Economics and Finance, 41(1), 177–191. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-12-2022-0579
- Ali, A. A. K. A. (2025). DeFi era: The behavioral intentions toward cryptocurrency in Lebanon. Innovation & Management Review, 21(4), 274–285. https://doi.org/10.1108/INMR-02-2023-0022
- Azahroh, N. U. (2024). Indonesia's economic growth in the Middle East. Journal of Economics, Business and Education, 4(11), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.17977/um066.v4.i11.2024.5
- Fadhilah, A., & Susanti, R. (2025). The effect of cryptocurrency and commodity prices on the composite stock price index (IHSG) for the 2020–2024 period. Journal of Economics and Management, 3(1), 1041–1059. https://doi.org/10.62710/xg5xjs58
- Field, J., & Inci, A. C. (2023). Risk translation: How cryptocurrency impacts company risk, beta and returns. Journal of Capital Markets Studies, 7(1), 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCMS-02-2023-0003
- Hidayah, N., & Saidah, A. N. (2024). Unveiling the dynamics: Impact of cryptocurrency returns, forex rates, and gold prices on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). MEA: Scientific Journal of Management, Economics, and Accounting, 8(3), 2002–2018. https://doi.org/10.31955/mea.v8i3.3984
- Prananta, B., & Alexiou, C. (2024). Exchange rates, bond yields and the stock market: Nonlinear evidence of Indonesia during the COVID-19 period. Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 8(1), 83–99. https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEB-12-2022-0157
- Sasono, H. (2023). The impact of gold prices and macroeconomic variables on the combined stock price index. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10224146
- Shakil, M. H., Mustapha, I. M., Tasnia, M., & Saiti, B. (2018). Is gold a hedge or a safe haven? An application of the ARDL approach. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 23(44), 60–76. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-03-2017-0052
References
Aftab, M., Naeem, M., & Tahir, M. (2024). Does uncertainty promote exchange rate volatility? Global evidence. Studies in Economics and Finance, 41(1), 177–191. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-12-2022-0579
Ali, A. A. K. A. (2025). DeFi era: The behavioral intentions toward cryptocurrency in Lebanon. Innovation & Management Review, 21(4), 274–285. https://doi.org/10.1108/INMR-02-2023-0022
Azahroh, N. U. (2024). Indonesia's economic growth in the Middle East. Journal of Economics, Business and Education, 4(11), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.17977/um066.v4.i11.2024.5
Fadhilah, A., & Susanti, R. (2025). The effect of cryptocurrency and commodity prices on the composite stock price index (IHSG) for the 2020–2024 period. Journal of Economics and Management, 3(1), 1041–1059. https://doi.org/10.62710/xg5xjs58
Field, J., & Inci, A. C. (2023). Risk translation: How cryptocurrency impacts company risk, beta and returns. Journal of Capital Markets Studies, 7(1), 5–21. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCMS-02-2023-0003
Hidayah, N., & Saidah, A. N. (2024). Unveiling the dynamics: Impact of cryptocurrency returns, forex rates, and gold prices on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). MEA: Scientific Journal of Management, Economics, and Accounting, 8(3), 2002–2018. https://doi.org/10.31955/mea.v8i3.3984
Prananta, B., & Alexiou, C. (2024). Exchange rates, bond yields and the stock market: Nonlinear evidence of Indonesia during the COVID-19 period. Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 8(1), 83–99. https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEB-12-2022-0157
Sasono, H. (2023). The impact of gold prices and macroeconomic variables on the combined stock price index. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10224146
Shakil, M. H., Mustapha, I. M., Tasnia, M., & Saiti, B. (2018). Is gold a hedge or a safe haven? An application of the ARDL approach. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 23(44), 60–76. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-03-2017-0052