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Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh perencanaan anggaran, pelaksanaan anggaran, regulasi, kompetensi sumber daya manusia, dan komitmen organisasi terhadap konsentrasi penyerapan anggaran pada triwulan IV di Kabupaten Jayapura. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan desain survei cross-sectional. Data dikumpulkan melalui kuesioner dari 159 aparatur yang terlibat langsung dalam pengelolaan anggaran pada 33 Organisasi Perangkat Daerah (OPD). Analisis data dilakukan menggunakan partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) dengan perangkat lunak WarpPLS 8.0. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa perencanaan anggaran berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penyerapan anggaran pada triwulan IV dengan koefisien jalur sebesar 0,132 dan nilai (p=0,045). Pelaksanaan anggaran juga berpengaruh signifikan dengan koefisien sebesar 0,160 dan nilai (p=0,019). Sementara itu, regulasi, kompetensi sumber daya manusia, dan komitmen organisasi tidak menunjukkan pengaruh yang signifikan. Nilai (R^2) sebesar 0,064 menunjukkan bahwa model hanya mampu menjelaskan 6,4% variasi penyerapan anggaran pada triwulan IV. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa perencanaan dan pelaksanaan anggaran merupakan faktor yang lebih menentukan dibandingkan regulasi dan karakteristik individual aparatur. Pemerintah Kabupaten Jayapura perlu memperkuat penjadwalan kegiatan, rencana penarikan dana, percepatan pengadaan, koordinasi antar-OPD, serta monitoring pelaksanaan anggaran agar realisasi belanja lebih merata sepanjang tahun.
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References
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- Ramadhani, R., & Setiawan, M. A. (2019). Pengaruh regulasi, politik anggaran, perencanaan anggaran, sumber daya manusia dan pengadaan barang/jasa terhadap penyerapan anggaran belanja pada OPD Provinsi Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Eksplorasi Akuntansi, 1(2), 710–726. https://doi.org/10.24036/jea.v1i2.104
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References
Astuti, E. Y., & Fadjarenie, R. A. (2024). The influence of budget planning, human resource competence, and budget implementation on budget absorption performance. JPPI (Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Indonesia), 10(3), 248–262. https://doi.org/10.29210/020244062
Bandiyono, A., & Mayangsari, S. (2021). The role of cash planning in budget absorption: Perception testing. Jurnal Akuntansi, 25(2), 201–221. https://doi.org/10.24912/ja.v25i2.806
Belisca, A., Azmi, Z., & Sari, D. (2024). Regional organizational budget absorption: The role of budget planning, human resource competence and procurement of goods and services. International Journal of Trends in Accounting Research, 4(2), 116–127. https://doi.org/10.54951/ijtar.v4i2.547
Campion, M. A., Fink, A. A., Ruggeberg, B. J., Carr, L., Phillips, G. M., & Odman, R. B. (2011). Doing competencies well: Best practices in competency modeling. Personnel Psychology, 64(1), 225–262. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-6570.2010.01207.x
Diko, N. A. R., Hiola, Y., & Radjak, L. I. (2023). Analisis faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi penyerapan anggaran pada Dinas Pekerjaan Umum dan Penataan Ruang Kabupaten Gorontalo. JAMBURA: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen dan Bisnis, 6(1), 497–503. https://doi.org/10.37479/jimb.v6i1.20135
Engel, E., Jordán, F., Rau, T., & Repetto, A. (2023). Audit threats and year-end spending by government agencies: Experimental evidence from Chile. Journal of Public Procurement, 23(1), 100–124. https://doi.org/10.1108/JOPP-07-2022-0032
Ferdinan, F., Isnurhadi, I., Widiyanti, M., & Adam, M. (2020). Pengaruh perencanaan anggaran dan pelaksanaan anggaran terhadap penyerapan anggaran dengan komitmen organisasi sebagai variabel moderasi pada Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Kesehatan Republik Indonesia. Jembatan: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, 17(2), 117–134. https://doi.org/10.29259/jmbt.v17i2.11844
Hair, J. F., Risher, J. J., Sarstedt, M., & Ringle, C. M. (2019). When to use and how to report the results of PLS-SEM. European Business Review, 31(1), 2–24. https://doi.org/10.1108/EBR-11-2018-0203
Henseler, J., Ringle, C. M., & Sarstedt, M. (2015). A new criterion for assessing discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 43(1), 115–135. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11747-014-0403-8
Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X
Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2011). The worldwide governance indicators: Methodology and analytical issues. Hague Journal on the Rule of Law, 3(2), 220–246. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1876404511200046
Kock, N. (2015). Common method bias in PLS-SEM: A full collinearity assessment approach. International Journal of e-Collaboration, 11(4), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.4018/ijec.2015100101
Kock, N. (2025). WarpPLS user manual: Version 8.0. ScriptWarp Systems.
Kristianingsih, E., Wahyudin, A., & Sukirman, S. (2022). Determinan kualitas penyerapan anggaran belanja dengan sistem pengendalian internal sebagai variabel moderasi: Studi empiris pada perguruan tinggi negeri Ditjen Diktiristek Kemendikbudristek. Business and Economic Analysis Journal, 2(2), 90–107. https://doi.org/10.15294/beaj.v2i2.37786
Lannai, D., & Amin, A. (2020). Factors affect budget absorption in government institutions of South Sulawesi. Atestasi: Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi, 3(2), 113–119. https://doi.org/10.57178/atestasi.v3i2.255
Liebman, J. B., & Mahoney, N. (2017). Do expiring budgets lead to wasteful year-end spending? Evidence from federal procurement. American Economic Review, 107(11), 3510–3549. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20131296
Matland, R. E. (1995). Synthesizing the implementation literature: The ambiguity-conflict model of policy implementation. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 5(2), 145–174. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.jpart.a037242
McCue, C. P., Prier, E., & Lofaro, R. J. (2021). Examining year-end spending spikes in the European Economic Area: A comparative study of procurement contracts. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting & Financial Management, 33(5), 513–532. https://doi.org/10.1108/JPBAFM-11-2020-0186
Meyer, J. P., & Allen, N. J. (1991). A three-component conceptualization of organizational commitment. Human Resource Management Review, 1(1), 61–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/1053-4822(91)90011-Z
Negara, P. K., Handajani, L., & Effendy, L. (2018). Studi kasus fenomena tingkat serapan anggaran pada Satuan Kerja Perangkat Daerah. Journal of Accounting and Investment, 19(1), 76–91. https://doi.org/10.18196/jai.190193
Nugroho, R., & Alfarisi, S. (2017). Faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi melonjaknya penyerapan anggaran kuartal IV instansi pemerintah: Studi pada Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan. Jurnal BPPK: Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan, 10(1), 22–37.
Periansya, P., Nurhidayati, N., & Mubarok, M. H. (2022). Pengaruh perencanaan anggaran dan kualitas aparatur terhadap penyerapan anggaran dengan perantara komitmen pimpinan. Jurnal E-Bis, 6(2), 526–542. https://doi.org/10.37339/e-bis.v6i2.986
Rakhman, F. (2019). Budget implementation in a risky environment: Evidence from the Indonesian public sector. Asian Review of Accounting, 27(2), 162–176. https://doi.org/10.1108/ARA-01-2018-0020
Ramadhani, R., & Setiawan, M. A. (2019). Pengaruh regulasi, politik anggaran, perencanaan anggaran, sumber daya manusia dan pengadaan barang/jasa terhadap penyerapan anggaran belanja pada OPD Provinsi Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Eksplorasi Akuntansi, 1(2), 710–726. https://doi.org/10.24036/jea.v1i2.104
Rausch, A., & Wall, F. (2015). Mitigating inefficiencies in budget spending: Evidence from an explorative study. Journal of Accounting & Organizational Change, 11(4), 430–454. https://doi.org/10.1108/JAOC-04-2013-0035
Yalisman, F., & Khoirunurrofik, K. (2025). Risk aversion and budget uncertainty: Empirical evidence on year-end government spending spikes in Indonesia. Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik, 10(2), 157–172. https://doi.org/10.33105/itrev.v10i2.1227
Zulaikah, B., & Burhany, D. I. (2019). Faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi penumpukan penyerapan anggaran pada triwulan IV di Kota Cimahi. Proceedings of Industrial Research Workshop and National Seminar, 10(1), 1221–1234.