Main Article Content
Abstract
Optimizing the risk of bankruptcy is very important in efforts to maintain the company's financial stability. To avoid bankruptcy, it is necessary to have an analysis that can predict the potential bankruptcy of a company. In this research, the author uses two bankruptcy prediction analysis models, namely the Altman model (Z-Score) and the Grover model (G-Score). This research uses data from Samsung, Apple, Asus, Xiaomi and Lenovo, during the period 2013 - 2022. This research aims to compare the analysis results of the two models and determine which method is the most accurate in predict bankruptcy. Based on the results of calculations using the Altman Model, it was found that more of the companies studied were in the "Gray Area" category, while calculations using the Grover Model showed that more of the companies studied were in the "healthy" category. And the Altman model has the highest level of accuracy in calculating potential bankruptcy, namely 38% compared to the Grover model which has an accuracy level of 14 %. This research states that the Altman model is more accurate in predicting potential bankruptcy rather than the Grover model.
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References
- Adfanin, L., Hidayati, S. A., & Ardana Putra, I. N. N. (2023). Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress Dengan Metode Altman (Z-Score), Springate (S-Score), Dan Zmijewski (X-Score) Pada Perusahaan Taksi Konvensional Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jmm Unram - Master of Management Journal, 12(2), 200–215. https://doi.org/10.29303/jmm.v12i2.779
- Anton, Yusrizal, Jesslyn, Sudarno, & Suharti. (2022). Comparasion Analysis Of Bankruptcy Predictions With Altman, Grover, Springate Methods Of Various Industrial Sectors Listed On IDX In 2016-2020. LUCRUM: Jurnal Bisnis Terapan, 2(3), 356–366. http://www.ejournal.pelitaindonesia.ac.id/ojs32/index.php/lucrum/index
- Book Value: Pengertian, Contoh, dan Cara Menghitungnya - Emtrade. (n.d.). Retrieved April 5, 2024, from https://emtrade.id/blog/8538/book-value-pengertian-contoh-dan-cara-menghitungnya.
- Br Sitanggang, D. R., & Sion Silaban, N. P. (2021). Analisis Potensi Kebangkrutan Dengan Model Z-Score, Springate, Grover pada PT.HEXINDO. 5, 3577–3592.
- Fauzi, S. E., Sudjono, S., & Saluy, A. B. (2021). Comparative Analysis of Financial Sustainability Using the Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski and Grover Models for Companies Listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange Sub-Sector Telecommunication Period 2014 – 2019. Journal of Economics and Business, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.31014/aior.1992.04.01.321
- Haseng, K., Cehpy, N., Mahfudnurnajamuddin, & Rahman, Z. (2021). Analisis Tingkat Kebangkrutan Pada Industri Semen yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Altman Z-Score dan Zmijewski. Paradoks: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 4(4), 942–953. https://jurnal.feb-umi.id/index.php/PARADOKS/article/view/715%0Ahttps://jurnal.feb-umi.id/index.php/PARADOKS/article/download/715/530
- Isnaini, T., Yusnidar, C., & Fatrisia, P. (2022). Measuring the Bankruptcy Potential of Aceh Beginners With the Altman Z-Score, Springate, Ohlson, Grover, and Zmijewski Method in the Midst of the Covid-19 Pandemic. Proceedings of International Conference on Education Technology and Social Science, 1(1), 131–138.
- Khansa Daffa, & Aldilla Iradianty. (2022). Analysis of The Effect of Bankruptcy Predictions with Models Altman, Springate, Ohlson, Foster, Zmijewski, and Grover on The Return of Shares in Entertainment and Film Companies Listed on The Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2018-2021. Proceedings of International Conference on Economics Business and Government Challenges, 1(1), 9–15. https://doi.org/10.33005/ic-ebgc.v1i1.5
- Kristiyanti, M. (2018). Optimalisasi Pengelolaan Manajemen Risiko Dalam Industri Maritim. Prosiding Seminar Hasil Penelitian Dan Pengabdian Masyarakat, 1, 569–587.
- Lutfiyyah, I., & Bhilawa, L. (2021). Analisis Akurasi Model Altman Modifikasi (Z”-Score), Zmijewski, Ohlson, Springate dan Grover Untuk Memprediksi Financial Distress Klub Sepak Bola. Jurnal Akuntansi, 13, 46–60. https://doi.org/10.28932/jam.v13i1.2700
- Mahardika, B., & Setyawan, S. (2022). Analisis Kebangkrutan Perusahaan Otomotif Dimasa Pandemi Covid-19 Menggunakan Analisis Model Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski, Dan Grover. Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah, 1(7), 1659–1670. https://www.bajangjournal.com/index.php/JCI/article/view/1783
- Martini, R., Raihana Aksara, R., Rachma Sari, K., Zulkifli, Z., & Hartati, S. (2023). Comparison of Financial Distress Predictions With Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, and Grover Models. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 3(1), 11–21. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v3i1.216
- Munawarah, M., & Hayati, K. (2019). Accuracy of Springate, Zmijewsky and Grover As Logistic Models in Finding Financial Difficulty of Financing Companies. Accruals, 3(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.35310/accruals.v3i1.36
- Nasmi, W., & Afriyenti, M. (2021). Analisis Prediksi Kebangkrutan pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Food & Beverages Yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia: Menggunakan Model Altman, Springate, dan Grover. Jurnal Eksplorasi Akuntansi, 3(4), 749–763. https://doi.org/10.24036/jea.v3i4.421
- Nisa, K., Rizal Yulianto, M., & Setyono, W. P. (2022). Analisis Perbandingan Tingkat Akurasi Prediksi Kebangkrutan Metode Altman Z-Score, Grover, Dan Zmijewski. Surplus: Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Ekonomi, Manajemen, Dan Akuntansi, 2(1), 23–35. https://doi.org/10.35449/surplus.v2i1.488
- Oktaviani, R. Y., & Yanti, M. S. (2022). Analisis Kebangkrutan dengan metode altman z-score, springate, zmijewski dan grover PT. Matahari department store tbk tahun 2016-2021. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Manajemen Akuntansi Dan Bisnis, 1(1).
- Oliviana, N., & Pandin, M. Y. R. (2023). Analisis Financial Distress Dengan Menggunakan Metode Altmn Z-Score Dan Springate S-Score Pada Perusahaan Sub Sektor Industri Makanan Dan Minuman Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2017 – 2021. Journal of Student Research, 1(2), 334–346. https://doi.org/10.55606/jsr.v1i2.1005
- Pratiwi, M. R., Atmadjaja, Y. V. I., & Ferawati, I. W. (2023). Prediction Analysis of Company Bangkruptcy Using Comparison of the Altman Method (Z-score) and Grover Method (G-scrore) as an Early Warning System in Pharmaceutical Subsector Companies. Jurnal Maksipreneur: Manajemen, Koperasi, Dan Entrepreneurship, 12(2), 486. https://doi.org/10.30588/jmp.v12i2.1472
- Qu, Y., Quan, P., Lei, M., & Shi, Y. (2019). Review of bankruptcy prediction using machine learning and deep learning techniques. Procedia Computer Science, 162(Itqm 2019), 895–899. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2019.12.065
- Safitri, A. R., & Arifin, Z. (2023). Analisis Akurasi Model-model Pemprediksi Kebangkrutan:Studi pada Perusahaan Go Public yang Mengalami Financial Distress. Selekta Manajemen : Jurnal Mahasiswa Bisnis & Manajemen, 02(03), 323–344.
- Saputra, I., Chandra Hermanto, W., Azmi, Z., & Akhmad, I. (2021). Analisis Kebangkrutan Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski, Foster, Dan Grover Pada Bank Mandiri Tbk. Research In Accounting Journal, 1(3), 431–439. http://journal.yrpipku.com/index.php/raj%7C
- Sari, R. P. (2018). Analisis Perbandingan Model Altman, Springate dan Zmijewski Dalam Memprediksi Kebangkrutan. AKTUAL – Journal of Accounting and Financial, 3(1), 33–41.
- Secioktaviany, Z. A., & Asrori, H. (2016). Optimalisasi Manajemen Risiko Sebagai Upaya Preventif Risiko Hukum Pada Bank Penyelenggara Branchless Banking Di Indonesia. Privat Law, IV(2), 87–93. https://media.neliti.com/media/publications/164668-ID-none.pdf
- Tahu, G. P. (2019). Predicting Financial Distress of Construction Companies in Indonesia: A Comparison of Altman Z-Score and Springate Methods. Ijsegce, 2(2), 7–12. https://doi.org/10.1234/ijsegce.v3i1.84
- Wahyuni EDT, R., & Seriska, H. (2022). Altman Z-Score Dan Springate: Metode Komparasi Dalam Memprediksi Kemungkinan Kebangkrutan Suatu Perusahaan. Akuntabilitas, 15(2), 229–240. https://doi.org/10.15408/akt.v15i2.28600
- Wahyuni, S. F., & Rubiyah. (2021). Analisis Financial Distress Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijeski dan Grover pada Perusahaan Sektor Perkebunan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. MANIEGGIO: Jurnal Ilmiah Magister Manajemen, 4(1), 62–72.
References
Adfanin, L., Hidayati, S. A., & Ardana Putra, I. N. N. (2023). Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress Dengan Metode Altman (Z-Score), Springate (S-Score), Dan Zmijewski (X-Score) Pada Perusahaan Taksi Konvensional Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jmm Unram - Master of Management Journal, 12(2), 200–215. https://doi.org/10.29303/jmm.v12i2.779
Anton, Yusrizal, Jesslyn, Sudarno, & Suharti. (2022). Comparasion Analysis Of Bankruptcy Predictions With Altman, Grover, Springate Methods Of Various Industrial Sectors Listed On IDX In 2016-2020. LUCRUM: Jurnal Bisnis Terapan, 2(3), 356–366. http://www.ejournal.pelitaindonesia.ac.id/ojs32/index.php/lucrum/index
Book Value: Pengertian, Contoh, dan Cara Menghitungnya - Emtrade. (n.d.). Retrieved April 5, 2024, from https://emtrade.id/blog/8538/book-value-pengertian-contoh-dan-cara-menghitungnya.
Br Sitanggang, D. R., & Sion Silaban, N. P. (2021). Analisis Potensi Kebangkrutan Dengan Model Z-Score, Springate, Grover pada PT.HEXINDO. 5, 3577–3592.
Fauzi, S. E., Sudjono, S., & Saluy, A. B. (2021). Comparative Analysis of Financial Sustainability Using the Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski and Grover Models for Companies Listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange Sub-Sector Telecommunication Period 2014 – 2019. Journal of Economics and Business, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.31014/aior.1992.04.01.321
Haseng, K., Cehpy, N., Mahfudnurnajamuddin, & Rahman, Z. (2021). Analisis Tingkat Kebangkrutan Pada Industri Semen yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Altman Z-Score dan Zmijewski. Paradoks: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 4(4), 942–953. https://jurnal.feb-umi.id/index.php/PARADOKS/article/view/715%0Ahttps://jurnal.feb-umi.id/index.php/PARADOKS/article/download/715/530
Isnaini, T., Yusnidar, C., & Fatrisia, P. (2022). Measuring the Bankruptcy Potential of Aceh Beginners With the Altman Z-Score, Springate, Ohlson, Grover, and Zmijewski Method in the Midst of the Covid-19 Pandemic. Proceedings of International Conference on Education Technology and Social Science, 1(1), 131–138.
Khansa Daffa, & Aldilla Iradianty. (2022). Analysis of The Effect of Bankruptcy Predictions with Models Altman, Springate, Ohlson, Foster, Zmijewski, and Grover on The Return of Shares in Entertainment and Film Companies Listed on The Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2018-2021. Proceedings of International Conference on Economics Business and Government Challenges, 1(1), 9–15. https://doi.org/10.33005/ic-ebgc.v1i1.5
Kristiyanti, M. (2018). Optimalisasi Pengelolaan Manajemen Risiko Dalam Industri Maritim. Prosiding Seminar Hasil Penelitian Dan Pengabdian Masyarakat, 1, 569–587.
Lutfiyyah, I., & Bhilawa, L. (2021). Analisis Akurasi Model Altman Modifikasi (Z”-Score), Zmijewski, Ohlson, Springate dan Grover Untuk Memprediksi Financial Distress Klub Sepak Bola. Jurnal Akuntansi, 13, 46–60. https://doi.org/10.28932/jam.v13i1.2700
Mahardika, B., & Setyawan, S. (2022). Analisis Kebangkrutan Perusahaan Otomotif Dimasa Pandemi Covid-19 Menggunakan Analisis Model Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski, Dan Grover. Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah, 1(7), 1659–1670. https://www.bajangjournal.com/index.php/JCI/article/view/1783
Martini, R., Raihana Aksara, R., Rachma Sari, K., Zulkifli, Z., & Hartati, S. (2023). Comparison of Financial Distress Predictions With Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, and Grover Models. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 3(1), 11–21. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v3i1.216
Munawarah, M., & Hayati, K. (2019). Accuracy of Springate, Zmijewsky and Grover As Logistic Models in Finding Financial Difficulty of Financing Companies. Accruals, 3(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.35310/accruals.v3i1.36
Nasmi, W., & Afriyenti, M. (2021). Analisis Prediksi Kebangkrutan pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sub Sektor Food & Beverages Yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia: Menggunakan Model Altman, Springate, dan Grover. Jurnal Eksplorasi Akuntansi, 3(4), 749–763. https://doi.org/10.24036/jea.v3i4.421
Nisa, K., Rizal Yulianto, M., & Setyono, W. P. (2022). Analisis Perbandingan Tingkat Akurasi Prediksi Kebangkrutan Metode Altman Z-Score, Grover, Dan Zmijewski. Surplus: Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Ekonomi, Manajemen, Dan Akuntansi, 2(1), 23–35. https://doi.org/10.35449/surplus.v2i1.488
Oktaviani, R. Y., & Yanti, M. S. (2022). Analisis Kebangkrutan dengan metode altman z-score, springate, zmijewski dan grover PT. Matahari department store tbk tahun 2016-2021. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Manajemen Akuntansi Dan Bisnis, 1(1).
Oliviana, N., & Pandin, M. Y. R. (2023). Analisis Financial Distress Dengan Menggunakan Metode Altmn Z-Score Dan Springate S-Score Pada Perusahaan Sub Sektor Industri Makanan Dan Minuman Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2017 – 2021. Journal of Student Research, 1(2), 334–346. https://doi.org/10.55606/jsr.v1i2.1005
Pratiwi, M. R., Atmadjaja, Y. V. I., & Ferawati, I. W. (2023). Prediction Analysis of Company Bangkruptcy Using Comparison of the Altman Method (Z-score) and Grover Method (G-scrore) as an Early Warning System in Pharmaceutical Subsector Companies. Jurnal Maksipreneur: Manajemen, Koperasi, Dan Entrepreneurship, 12(2), 486. https://doi.org/10.30588/jmp.v12i2.1472
Qu, Y., Quan, P., Lei, M., & Shi, Y. (2019). Review of bankruptcy prediction using machine learning and deep learning techniques. Procedia Computer Science, 162(Itqm 2019), 895–899. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2019.12.065
Safitri, A. R., & Arifin, Z. (2023). Analisis Akurasi Model-model Pemprediksi Kebangkrutan:Studi pada Perusahaan Go Public yang Mengalami Financial Distress. Selekta Manajemen : Jurnal Mahasiswa Bisnis & Manajemen, 02(03), 323–344.
Saputra, I., Chandra Hermanto, W., Azmi, Z., & Akhmad, I. (2021). Analisis Kebangkrutan Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski, Foster, Dan Grover Pada Bank Mandiri Tbk. Research In Accounting Journal, 1(3), 431–439. http://journal.yrpipku.com/index.php/raj%7C
Sari, R. P. (2018). Analisis Perbandingan Model Altman, Springate dan Zmijewski Dalam Memprediksi Kebangkrutan. AKTUAL – Journal of Accounting and Financial, 3(1), 33–41.
Secioktaviany, Z. A., & Asrori, H. (2016). Optimalisasi Manajemen Risiko Sebagai Upaya Preventif Risiko Hukum Pada Bank Penyelenggara Branchless Banking Di Indonesia. Privat Law, IV(2), 87–93. https://media.neliti.com/media/publications/164668-ID-none.pdf
Tahu, G. P. (2019). Predicting Financial Distress of Construction Companies in Indonesia: A Comparison of Altman Z-Score and Springate Methods. Ijsegce, 2(2), 7–12. https://doi.org/10.1234/ijsegce.v3i1.84
Wahyuni EDT, R., & Seriska, H. (2022). Altman Z-Score Dan Springate: Metode Komparasi Dalam Memprediksi Kemungkinan Kebangkrutan Suatu Perusahaan. Akuntabilitas, 15(2), 229–240. https://doi.org/10.15408/akt.v15i2.28600
Wahyuni, S. F., & Rubiyah. (2021). Analisis Financial Distress Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijeski dan Grover pada Perusahaan Sektor Perkebunan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. MANIEGGIO: Jurnal Ilmiah Magister Manajemen, 4(1), 62–72.